{"id":8488,"date":"2015-11-05T17:42:14","date_gmt":"2015-11-05T16:42:14","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.solucominsight.fr\/?p=8488"},"modified":"2015-11-05T17:58:06","modified_gmt":"2015-11-05T16:58:06","slug":"quand-la-cop21-naura-pas-tenu-toutes-ses-promesses","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.riskinsight-wavestone.com\/en\/2015\/11\/quand-la-cop21-naura-pas-tenu-toutes-ses-promesses\/","title":{"rendered":"Quand la COP21 n\u2019aura pas tenu toutes ses promesses\u2026"},"content":{"rendered":"

Les chefs d\u2019\u00c9tat ont d\u00e9j\u00e0 leurs billets pour Paris et les d\u00e9l\u00e9gations nationales pr\u00e9parent depuis longtemps les n\u00e9gociations \u00e0 venir. Le public est inform\u00e9 par la presse et une partie se mobilise, notamment en France pour peser sur les discussions. De grandes manifestations sont pr\u00e9vues le 29 novembre \u00e0 la veille de l\u2019ouverture de la COP 21<\/a>. Une dynamique s\u2019engage, nos espoirs sont grands. Il s\u2019agit de notre avenir commun.<\/p>\n

Mais que ressortira-t-il des n\u00e9gociations\u00a0? Gouverner c\u2019est pr\u00e9voir, alors imaginons un instant le pire. Imaginons un instant que le 11 d\u00e9cembre 2015\u00a0l\u2019ambition des \u00c9tats et leurs engagements concrets soient insuffisants, \u00e0 l\u2019instar de ce qui s\u2019\u00e9tait d\u00e9j\u00e0 pass\u00e9 pour le COP20<\/a>. Que se passera-t-il alors ?<\/p>\n

Les enjeux nationaux et corporatistes fleuriront aux premi\u00e8res difficult\u00e9s<\/h2>\n

En toile de fond, la situation \u00e9conomique restera longtemps chaotique, suivant la courbe des volumes d\u2019extraction de p\u00e9trole.<\/a>\u00a0 <\/u><\/em><\/p>\n

Les \u00c9tats continueront de mener chacun leur politique (m\u00eame en Europe o\u00f9 l\u2019on voit de fortes disparit\u00e9s dans les mesures nationales malgr\u00e9 la coordination actuelle en vue de la conf\u00e9rence).<\/a> Tous auront pris des engagements \u00e0 Paris, mais les \u00ab\u00a0mauvais \u00e9l\u00e8ves\u00a0\u00bb se d\u00e9diront en partie aux premi\u00e8res difficult\u00e9s financi\u00e8res. Et les bons devront faire preuve de pers\u00e9v\u00e9rance pour ne pas sacrifier les projets de long terme.<\/p>\n

Quelques lobbyistes du climatosceptisme continueront leur combat d\u2019arri\u00e8re-garde pour retarder l\u2019application des lois.<\/p>\n

Finalement, ceux qui agiront d\u2019abord pour le climat, guid\u00e9s par leur int\u00e9r\u00eat bien compris, seront les professionnels de l\u2019\u00e9nergie, les collectivit\u00e9s locales et le grand public.<\/p>\n

L\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat bien compris des \u00e9nerg\u00e9ticiens pour les renouvelables et l\u2019efficacit\u00e9 \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique<\/h2>\n

Les \u00e9nerg\u00e9ticiens europ\u00e9ens continueront d\u2019investir dans les ressources renouvelables<\/a> qui verdissent leur offre, les pr\u00e9munissent contre l\u2019augmentation potentielle des taxes carbone et les al\u00e9as du prix des hydrocarbures.<\/p>\n

\u00c0 l\u2019autre extr\u00e9mit\u00e9 de leur cha\u00eene de valeur, ils feront la course aux services \u00e0 partir du gigantesque r\u00e9servoir des donn\u00e9es de consommation de leurs clients.<\/a> Leur capacit\u00e9 \u00e0 d\u00e9velopper des r\u00e9seaux intelligents sera un actif strat\u00e9gique pour l\u2019avenir.<\/p>\n

L\u2019innovation viendra au secours du climat et se mettra au service des citoyens<\/h2>\n

Sur ces r\u00e9seaux intelligents, de jeunes pousses<\/u> imaginatives et capables de se faire conna\u00eetre aupr\u00e8s des bons sponsors grefferont des services \u00e0 valeur ajout\u00e9e. Ils aideront les consommateurs, \u00e0 partir de mod\u00e8les pr\u00e9dictifs, \u00e0 court terme et \u00e9chelle locale, \u00e0 d\u00e9clencher les gestes \u00e9conomes et efficaces<\/a>\u00a0: piloter sa chaudi\u00e8re, recharger son v\u00e9hicule \u00e9lectrique, arbitrer entre usages\u2026<\/p>\n

Les grandes villes r\u00e9duiront leurs consommations et leurs \u00e9missions de polluants<\/h2>\n

Enfin, partout o\u00f9 la d\u00e9mocratie s\u2019exerce, les \u00e9lecteurs<\/u> mettront sous pression leurs \u00e9lus locaux<\/u>. C\u2019est en effet \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9chelle de l\u2019agglom\u00e9ration que les responsables politiques sont le plus sensibles aux probl\u00e8mes des citoyens et qu\u2019ils ont latitude pour agir.<\/p>\n

La ville consomme trop d\u2019\u00e9nergie\u00a0en chauffage ou climatisation\u00a0? Ils acc\u00e9l\u00e8reront leurs op\u00e9rations de r\u00e9novation sur le b\u00e2ti public et d\u00e9velopperont les aides aux particuliers\u00a0: techniques (par le d\u00e9veloppement des thermographies par exemple) et financi\u00e8res (avec les ch\u00e8ques \u00e9co-logement en France par exemple).<\/a><\/p>\n

L\u2019air est irrespirable et les rues congestionn\u00e9es\u00a0? Ils am\u00e9nageront la voierie au profit des transports alternatifs<\/a> (en commun, partag\u00e9s, non motoris\u00e9s, \u00e9lectriques\u2026) et aux d\u00e9pends des v\u00e9hicules les plus polluants.<\/p>\n

Les ordures s\u2019amoncellent\u00a0? Sous la pression des habitants, ils pr\u00e9f\u00e8reront les trier, recycler ce qui peut l\u2019\u00eatre et valoriser la biomasse (biom\u00e9thane et compost) plut\u00f4t que d\u2019incin\u00e9rer.<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Au final, des ambitions locales et ponctuelles tireront les ambitions internationales. Entre la 21e<\/sup> conf\u00e9rence de Paris et la 22e<\/sup> de Marrakech, la transition \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique continuera de s\u2019op\u00e9rer, ind\u00e9pendamment des d\u00e9cisions prises ou pas.<\/p>\n

Restons n\u00e9anmoins optimistes, puisque malgr\u00e9 la difficult\u00e9 d\u2019aboutir \u00e0 des engagements internationaux, nous, citoyens du monde, avons l\u2019opportunit\u00e9 de changer le futur du climat \u00e0 notre niveau. Et gageons que cet \u00e9lan citoyen trouvera progressivement \u00e9cho dans un mouvement collectif plus global qui embarquera l\u2019ensemble des entreprises, des institutions et des \u00e9tats. Peut-\u00eatre que la COP 21 c\u2019est aussi \u00e7a\u00a0: semer quelques graines un peu partout pour qu\u2019enfin la conscience collective prenne racine.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Les chefs d\u2019\u00c9tat ont d\u00e9j\u00e0 leurs billets pour Paris et les d\u00e9l\u00e9gations nationales pr\u00e9parent depuis longtemps les n\u00e9gociations \u00e0 venir. Le public est inform\u00e9 par la presse et une partie se mobilise, notamment en France pour peser sur les discussions….<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":53,"featured_media":8493,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"page-templates\/tmpl-one.php","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[40],"tags":[],"coauthors":[949],"class_list":["post-8488","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-energie-utilities"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nQuand la COP21 n\u2019aura pas tenu toutes ses promesses\u2026 - RiskInsight<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"COP 21 : une dynamique s\u2019engage, nos espoirs sont grands. Il s\u2019agit de notre avenir commun. 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